Presidential Post Notes

^_|_..^.Notes^.._.^_|

| Reason It’s Critical |

PA – Always a top swing state; narrow margins in 2016, 2020; pivotal Rust Belt battleground 2 3.

GA – Flipped to Democrats in 2020 for first time since 1992; rapid demographic shifts; razor-thin margins 2 3.

WI – Decided by less than 1% in 2016 and 2020; key Midwestern bellwether 2 3.

AZ – Flipped blue in 2020 for first time since 1996; fast-growing, diverse suburbs 2 3.

MI – Narrow margins in recent cycles; critical for both parties’ Rust Belt strategy 2 3.

NV – Swing state with diverse, fast-growing population; close margins every cycle 2 3.

NC – Consistently close; rapid population growth; Democrats targeting suburban gains 2 3.

| Post-script |

States are ranked by both electoral vote count and likelihood of deciding the election, per consensus from 270 to Win and recent history 2 3.
ZIP codes are the most populous within each state or district, per recent data 8.
Some states appear more than once due to their high importance and competitive nature.